Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS             61 31 306 226  0.013 46.016    1  0.276    1  0.285    1  0.276    1 0.5399   29  0.956    9  0.142    1  0.409
LIGHTNING        48 39 306 238  0.005 43.313   11  0.080   11  0.085    2  0.236   11 0.5132   11  1.135    1  0.317   10  0.155
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   55 36 303 250 -0.008 44.972    5  0.190    5  0.171    3  0.191    5 0.5255   16  1.080    5  0.203    5  0.179
CAPITALS         56 34 310 251 -0.008 44.462    3  0.216    3  0.198    4  0.182    3 0.5287   12  1.109    4  0.229   11  0.134
STARS            56 36 306 256  0.018 46.354    4  0.213    4  0.194    5  0.179    4 0.5277   15  1.085    6  0.197    9  0.160
AVALANCHE        52 37 301 255  0.011 44.670    9  0.154    9  0.145    6  0.156    9 0.5214    6  1.145    2  0.248   15  0.064
HURRICANES       53 37 292 248  0.009 45.125    7  0.165    7  0.154    7  0.154    7 0.5217   17  1.059   10  0.141    7  0.166
KINGS            50 38 274 233 -0.005 43.641   10  0.103   10  0.107    8  0.142   10 0.5164   27  0.962   15  0.016    2  0.269
PANTHERS         53 38 285 248  0.021 46.098    8  0.161    8  0.152    9  0.130    8 0.5216   24  0.996   14  0.042    3  0.217
MAPLE LEAFS      58 34 300 261  0.007 46.125    2  0.234    2  0.224   10  0.112    2 0.5324   14  1.086   11  0.131   14  0.092
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUES            47 42 281 254  0.025 45.225   12  0.051   13  0.060   11  0.107   13 0.5093   19  1.052   13  0.085   12  0.128
OILERS           54 37 298 270  0.011 45.790    6  0.175    6  0.165   12  0.086    6 0.5230    8  1.141    8  0.173   18 -0.002
DEVILS           43 44 253 241  0.008 43.731   15 -0.001   15 -0.009   13  0.052   15 0.4993   31  0.934   22 -0.107    4  0.210
SENATORS         47 41 259 253  0.003 44.095   14  0.044   14  0.055   14  0.034   12 0.5093   28  0.962   20 -0.093    8  0.160
RANGERS          39 43 256 255 -0.008 40.767   20 -0.029   20 -0.048   15  0.021   20 0.4931    9  1.141   12  0.109   21 -0.067
BLUE JACKETS     40 42 273 268 -0.006 40.904   17 -0.013   17 -0.025   16 -0.015   17 0.4964    2  1.225    7  0.180   27 -0.210
WILD             47 41 247 257  0.010 44.487   13  0.050   12  0.063   17 -0.026   14 0.5089   30  0.941   26 -0.177   13  0.124
FLAMES           41 41 225 238 -0.017 40.577   16 -0.004   16 -0.013   18 -0.040   16 0.4979   32  0.882   29 -0.257    6  0.176
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 38 44 241 251 -0.005 40.997   21 -0.046   21 -0.066   19 -0.045   21 0.4905   22  1.032   19 -0.090   17  0.001
CANADIENS        41 46 257 283  0.011 44.054   18 -0.025   18 -0.042   20 -0.059   18 0.4946   13  1.098   17 -0.025   23 -0.093
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CANUCKS          38 44 236 253 -0.017 40.617   22 -0.054   22 -0.073   21 -0.060   22 0.4892   23  1.011   24 -0.130   16  0.011
RED WINGS        39 43 238 259 -0.002 41.120   19 -0.029   19 -0.044   22 -0.080   19 0.4938   18  1.057   21 -0.095   20 -0.065
SABRES           36 46 269 289 -0.008 40.940   23 -0.094   23 -0.107   23 -0.089   23 0.4845    1  1.322    3  0.234   31 -0.413
KRAKEN           35 47 247 265 -0.013 40.829   26 -0.127   26 -0.132   24 -0.110   26 0.4809    7  1.144   16 -0.019   26 -0.201
ISLANDERS        35 47 224 260 -0.010 40.954   25 -0.122   25 -0.127   25 -0.131   25 0.4812   25  0.994   28 -0.221   19 -0.042
BRUINS           33 49 222 272  0.000 41.349   28 -0.165   28 -0.163   26 -0.162   28 0.4765   20  1.037   27 -0.202   24 -0.123
DUCKS            35 47 221 263 -0.005 41.221   24 -0.119   24 -0.125   27 -0.167   24 0.4819   26  0.991   30 -0.260   22 -0.074
FLYERS           33 49 238 286 -0.008 41.124   29 -0.171   29 -0.167   28 -0.199   29 0.4756   10  1.141   23 -0.111   28 -0.286
PENGUINS         34 48 243 293 -0.007 41.153   27 -0.148   27 -0.147   29 -0.202   27 0.4784    3  1.194   18 -0.047   29 -0.356
PREDATORS        30 52 214 274 -0.003 41.387   30 -0.224   30 -0.225   30 -0.239   30 0.4672   21  1.033   32 -0.284   25 -0.195
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLACKHAWKS       25 57 226 296 -0.009 41.200   31 -0.305   31 -0.329   31 -0.260   31 0.4521    4  1.169   25 -0.137   30 -0.382
SHARKS           20 62 210 315 -0.010 41.377   32 -0.437   32 -0.436   32 -0.380   32 0.4373    5  1.150   31 -0.282   32 -0.479

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   55 36 303 250 -0.008 44.972    5  0.190    5  0.171    3  0.191    5 0.5255   16  1.080    5  0.203    5  0.179
KINGS            50 38 274 233 -0.005 43.641   10  0.103   10  0.107    8  0.142   10 0.5164   27  0.962   15  0.016    2  0.269
OILERS           54 37 298 270  0.011 45.790    6  0.175    6  0.165   12  0.086    6 0.5230    8  1.141    8  0.173   18 -0.002
FLAMES           41 41 225 238 -0.017 40.577   16 -0.004   16 -0.013   18 -0.040   16 0.4979   32  0.882   29 -0.257    6  0.176
CANUCKS          38 44 236 253 -0.017 40.617   22 -0.054   22 -0.073   21 -0.060   22 0.4892   23  1.011   24 -0.130   16  0.011
KRAKEN           35 47 247 265 -0.013 40.829   26 -0.127   26 -0.132   24 -0.110   26 0.4809    7  1.144   16 -0.019   26 -0.201
DUCKS            35 47 221 263 -0.005 41.221   24 -0.119   24 -0.125   27 -0.167   24 0.4819   26  0.991   30 -0.260   22 -0.074
SHARKS           20 62 210 315 -0.010 41.377   32 -0.437   32 -0.436   32 -0.380   32 0.4373    5  1.150   31 -0.282   32 -0.479

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS             61 31 306 226  0.013 46.016    1  0.276    1  0.285    1  0.276    1 0.5399   29  0.956    9  0.142    1  0.409
STARS            56 36 306 256  0.018 46.354    4  0.213    4  0.194    5  0.179    4 0.5277   15  1.085    6  0.197    9  0.160
AVALANCHE        52 37 301 255  0.011 44.670    9  0.154    9  0.145    6  0.156    9 0.5214    6  1.145    2  0.248   15  0.064
BLUES            47 42 281 254  0.025 45.225   12  0.051   13  0.060   11  0.107   13 0.5093   19  1.052   13  0.085   12  0.128
WILD             47 41 247 257  0.010 44.487   13  0.050   12  0.063   17 -0.026   14 0.5089   30  0.941   26 -0.177   13  0.124
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 38 44 241 251 -0.005 40.997   21 -0.046   21 -0.066   19 -0.045   21 0.4905   22  1.032   19 -0.090   17  0.001
PREDATORS        30 52 214 274 -0.003 41.387   30 -0.224   30 -0.225   30 -0.239   30 0.4672   21  1.033   32 -0.284   25 -0.195
BLACKHAWKS       25 57 226 296 -0.009 41.200   31 -0.305   31 -0.329   31 -0.260   31 0.4521    4  1.169   25 -0.137   30 -0.382

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CAPITALS         56 34 310 251 -0.008 44.462    3  0.216    3  0.198    4  0.182    3 0.5287   12  1.109    4  0.229   11  0.134
HURRICANES       53 37 292 248  0.009 45.125    7  0.165    7  0.154    7  0.154    7 0.5217   17  1.059   10  0.141    7  0.166
DEVILS           43 44 253 241  0.008 43.731   15 -0.001   15 -0.009   13  0.052   15 0.4993   31  0.934   22 -0.107    4  0.210
RANGERS          39 43 256 255 -0.008 40.767   20 -0.029   20 -0.048   15  0.021   20 0.4931    9  1.141   12  0.109   21 -0.067
BLUE JACKETS     40 42 273 268 -0.006 40.904   17 -0.013   17 -0.025   16 -0.015   17 0.4964    2  1.225    7  0.180   27 -0.210
ISLANDERS        35 47 224 260 -0.010 40.954   25 -0.122   25 -0.127   25 -0.131   25 0.4812   25  0.994   28 -0.221   19 -0.042
FLYERS           33 49 238 286 -0.008 41.124   29 -0.171   29 -0.167   28 -0.199   29 0.4756   10  1.141   23 -0.111   28 -0.286
PENGUINS         34 48 243 293 -0.007 41.153   27 -0.148   27 -0.147   29 -0.202   27 0.4784    3  1.194   18 -0.047   29 -0.356

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING        48 39 306 238  0.005 43.313   11  0.080   11  0.085    2  0.236   11 0.5132   11  1.135    1  0.317   10  0.155
PANTHERS         53 38 285 248  0.021 46.098    8  0.161    8  0.152    9  0.130    8 0.5216   24  0.996   14  0.042    3  0.217
MAPLE LEAFS      58 34 300 261  0.007 46.125    2  0.234    2  0.224   10  0.112    2 0.5324   14  1.086   11  0.131   14  0.092
SENATORS         47 41 259 253  0.003 44.095   14  0.044   14  0.055   14  0.034   12 0.5093   28  0.962   20 -0.093    8  0.160
CANADIENS        41 46 257 283  0.011 44.054   18 -0.025   18 -0.042   20 -0.059   18 0.4946   13  1.098   17 -0.025   23 -0.093
RED WINGS        39 43 238 259 -0.002 41.120   19 -0.029   19 -0.044   22 -0.080   19 0.4938   18  1.057   21 -0.095   20 -0.065
SABRES           36 46 269 289 -0.008 40.940   23 -0.094   23 -0.107   23 -0.089   23 0.4845    1  1.322    3  0.234   31 -0.413
BRUINS           33 49 222 272  0.000 41.349   28 -0.165   28 -0.163   26 -0.162   28 0.4765   20  1.037   27 -0.202   24 -0.123

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
CENTRAL DIVISION      356 340 0.511    1  0.025
ATLANTIC DIVISION     355 336 0.514    2  0.021
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 333 344 0.492    3 -0.022
PACIFIC DIVISION      328 352 0.482    4 -0.055

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.144 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.016 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Mon May 12 05:30:11 2025
games through: Sun May 11 2025

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