Dolphin Ratings - Women's National Basketball Association

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                          STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIBERTY   15  6 1824 1663  0.133 10.505    2  0.525    2  0.547    1  0.586    2 0.5536    3  3.683    1  0.826    4  0.346
LYNX      20  5 2091 1873 -0.076 10.470    1  0.574    1  0.594    2  0.513    1 0.5614   12  3.564    5  0.242    1  0.784
DREAM     13  9 1843 1722  0.045 10.239    5  0.179    5  0.168    3  0.422    5 0.5161    8  3.613    2  0.359    3  0.486
MERCURY   15  7 1835 1745  0.069 10.673    3  0.413    3  0.438    4  0.317    3 0.5471    7  3.636    3  0.352    6  0.282
FEVER     13 11 2011 1903  0.029 11.173    6  0.080    6  0.070    5  0.285    6 0.5034    5  3.637    4  0.324    7  0.247
VALKYRIES 10 12 1741 1717  0.143 11.559    8 -0.005    8  0.001    6  0.223    7 0.4983   13  3.551    9 -0.105    2  0.550
STORM     14  9 1861 1796  0.071 11.343    4  0.252    4  0.266    7  0.197    4 0.5272   10  3.597    7  0.065    5  0.328
ACES      11 11 1774 1806 -0.048 10.406    9 -0.046    9 -0.016    8 -0.152    9 0.4966    6  3.637   10 -0.113    9 -0.190
MYSTICS   11 11 1726 1768 -0.008 10.794    7 -0.002    7  0.023    9 -0.172    8 0.4982   11  3.576   11 -0.395    8  0.051
SPARKS     8 14 1831 1911  0.051 11.343   10 -0.254   10 -0.244   10 -0.212   10 0.4735    1  3.724    6  0.214   11 -0.637
TEAM       W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WINGS      6 17 1882 1997 -0.060 11.163   12 -0.548   12 -0.553   11 -0.389   12 0.4442    2  3.705    8 -0.050   12 -0.728
SKY        7 15 1716 1898  0.026 11.656   11 -0.368   11 -0.331   12 -0.513   11 0.4593    4  3.641   12 -0.455   10 -0.571
SUN        3 19 1599 1935 -0.021 11.537   13 -0.800   13 -0.771   13 -1.063   13 0.4161    9  3.607   13 -1.151   13 -0.975

WESTERN CONFERENCE
                                          STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LYNX      20  5 2091 1873 -0.076 10.470    1  0.574    1  0.594    2  0.513    1 0.5614   12  3.564    5  0.242    1  0.784
MERCURY   15  7 1835 1745  0.069 10.673    3  0.413    3  0.438    4  0.317    3 0.5471    7  3.636    3  0.352    6  0.282
VALKYRIES 10 12 1741 1717  0.143 11.559    8 -0.005    8  0.001    6  0.223    7 0.4983   13  3.551    9 -0.105    2  0.550
STORM     14  9 1861 1796  0.071 11.343    4  0.252    4  0.266    7  0.197    4 0.5272   10  3.597    7  0.065    5  0.328
ACES      11 11 1774 1806 -0.048 10.406    9 -0.046    9 -0.016    8 -0.152    9 0.4966    6  3.637   10 -0.113    9 -0.190
SPARKS     8 14 1831 1911  0.051 11.343   10 -0.254   10 -0.244   10 -0.212   10 0.4735    1  3.724    6  0.214   11 -0.637
WINGS      6 17 1882 1997 -0.060 11.163   12 -0.548   12 -0.553   11 -0.389   12 0.4442    2  3.705    8 -0.050   12 -0.728

EASTERN CONFERENCE
                                          STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIBERTY   15  6 1824 1663  0.133 10.505    2  0.525    2  0.547    1  0.586    2 0.5536    3  3.683    1  0.826    4  0.346
DREAM     13  9 1843 1722  0.045 10.239    5  0.179    5  0.168    3  0.422    5 0.5161    8  3.613    2  0.359    3  0.486
FEVER     13 11 2011 1903  0.029 11.173    6  0.080    6  0.070    5  0.285    6 0.5034    5  3.637    4  0.324    7  0.247
MYSTICS   11 11 1726 1768 -0.008 10.794    7 -0.002    7  0.023    9 -0.172    8 0.4982   11  3.576   11 -0.395    8  0.051
SKY        7 15 1716 1898  0.026 11.656   11 -0.368   11 -0.331   12 -0.513   11 0.4593    4  3.641   12 -0.455   10 -0.571
SUN        3 19 1599 1935 -0.021 11.537   13 -0.800   13 -0.771   13 -1.063   13 0.4161    9  3.607   13 -1.151   13 -0.975

DIVISION            W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
WESTERN CONFERENCE 84 75 0.528    1  0.087
EASTERN CONFERENCE 62 71 0.466    2 -0.067

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.312 points in main ratings (0.226 for semineutral)
     0.030 points in improved RPI (0.023 for semineutral)
Average of 2.15 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Thu Jul 17 05:30:05 2025
games through: Wed Jul 16 2025

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