Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAYS         30 15 207 182  0.022 23.102    2  0.143    2  0.123    6  0.074    1 0.5436   12  0.547    7  0.137   15  0.011   24 -0.235
BRAVES       32 15 250 152 -0.006 23.410    1  0.156    1  0.129    1  0.179    2 0.5418   18  0.429    9  0.136    4  0.223   22 -0.170
CUBS         29 18 241 199  0.037 24.340    3  0.093    3  0.095    5  0.088    3 0.5368    1  0.845    1  0.448   27 -0.272   27 -0.388
DODGERS      29 18 248 154 -0.037 22.878    4  0.065    4  0.074    2  0.152    4 0.5251   16  0.461    6  0.137    8  0.167   23 -0.208
BREWERS      26 18 218 157  0.008 22.314    5  0.054    5  0.066    3  0.115    5 0.5236   22  0.355   17  0.008    5  0.222   12  0.078
CARDINALS    27 19 208 205  0.008 23.453    6  0.048    6  0.064   10  0.011    6 0.5219   15  0.476   16  0.009   14  0.012   13  0.038
PADRES       28 18 195 188 -0.053 22.310    7  0.046    7  0.063   11  0.005    7 0.5212   14  0.477   18  0.004   17  0.006   20 -0.129
YANKEES      28 19 237 169 -0.049 22.700    8  0.037    8  0.055    4  0.105    8 0.5155   25  0.257   20 -0.083    1  0.292    2  0.558
GUARDIANS    26 22 210 197 -0.004 24.200    9  0.014    9  0.030    8  0.017    9 0.5090    9  0.623    4  0.152   20 -0.118   29 -0.525
PIRATES      24 23 229 211 -0.025 23.317   14 -0.003   14  0.002    9  0.017   10 0.5077   17  0.439   19 -0.018   13  0.051    8  0.243
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PHILLIES     24 23 199 216  0.025 24.335   10  0.004   10  0.015   17 -0.016   11 0.5072   23  0.319   24 -0.153   11  0.121    5  0.328
NATIONALS    23 24 255 268  0.074 25.225   11  0.004   11  0.014   12  0.001   12 0.5067    2  0.816    2  0.331   29 -0.329    7  0.245
WHITE SOX    24 22 211 218 -0.026 22.844   12 -0.000   12  0.008   15 -0.009   13 0.5028   10  0.610   11  0.113   21 -0.132   19 -0.093
DIAMONDBACKS 22 23 198 215  0.055 23.816   13 -0.001   13  0.008   13 -0.002   14 0.5018    5  0.667    3  0.175   25 -0.180   21 -0.130
REDS         24 23 204 239 -0.043 23.122   16 -0.007   16 -0.004   26 -0.066   15 0.4988    7  0.649   13  0.094   26 -0.226   14  0.019
ATHLETICS    23 23 200 213 -0.007 23.226   15 -0.005   15 -0.001   18 -0.020   16 0.4980   27  0.251   26 -0.212    7  0.173    1  0.616
RANGERS      22 24 171 168  0.024 23.740   17 -0.008   17 -0.009    7  0.018   17 0.4957   24  0.314   23 -0.124   10  0.159   30 -0.555
MARLINS      21 26 201 214  0.029 24.412   18 -0.022   18 -0.029   19 -0.020   18 0.4921    8  0.645    8  0.136   23 -0.176   25 -0.269
GIANTS       20 27 165 202  0.043 24.744   21 -0.031   21 -0.040   25 -0.063   19 0.4907   29  0.127   30 -0.351    3  0.225    9  0.231
BLUE JAYS    21 25 188 199 -0.005 23.281   19 -0.024   19 -0.032   21 -0.025   20 0.4867   26  0.251   27 -0.218    9  0.167    6  0.258
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MARINERS     22 26 198 192 -0.026 23.851   20 -0.027   20 -0.036   14 -0.008   21 0.4864   21  0.391   21 -0.084   12  0.068   16 -0.014
TWINS        21 26 219 225 -0.024 23.384   23 -0.033   23 -0.045   16 -0.014   22 0.4840    6  0.653    5  0.150   24 -0.178   17 -0.035
ORIOLES      21 26 205 249 -0.011 23.739   22 -0.032   22 -0.041   27 -0.074   23 0.4836   11  0.587   14  0.027   22 -0.174   11  0.126
ROYALS       20 27 189 210  0.024 24.345   24 -0.035   24 -0.046   22 -0.028   24 0.4819   28  0.239   28 -0.230    6  0.174   10  0.222
METS         20 26 176 192 -0.019 23.043   26 -0.040   25 -0.052   24 -0.049   25 0.4817   30  0.114   29 -0.346    2  0.249    4  0.344
TIGERS       20 27 188 201  0.002 23.889   25 -0.039   26 -0.052   20 -0.021   26 0.4797   13  0.515   15  0.013   19 -0.054   18 -0.079
RED SOX      19 27 167 187  0.001 23.412   27 -0.049   27 -0.061   23 -0.044   27 0.4793   19  0.417   22 -0.098   16  0.010   28 -0.466
ROCKIES      18 29 199 243 -0.015 23.695   28 -0.088   28 -0.088   28 -0.093   28 0.4725   20  0.409   25 -0.155   18 -0.032    3  0.379
ASTROS       19 29 212 263 -0.062 23.302   29 -0.100   29 -0.093   30 -0.114   29 0.4649    3  0.733   10  0.129   30 -0.358   15 -0.010
ANGELS       16 31 186 246  0.029 24.569   30 -0.120   30 -0.106   29 -0.101   30 0.4633    4  0.701   12  0.111   28 -0.312   26 -0.387

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      29 18 248 154 -0.037 22.878    4  0.065    4  0.074    2  0.152    4 0.5251   16  0.461    6  0.137    8  0.167   23 -0.208
PADRES       28 18 195 188 -0.053 22.310    7  0.046    7  0.063   11  0.005    7 0.5212   14  0.477   18  0.004   17  0.006   20 -0.129
DIAMONDBACKS 22 23 198 215  0.055 23.816   13 -0.001   13  0.008   13 -0.002   14 0.5018    5  0.667    3  0.175   25 -0.180   21 -0.130
GIANTS       20 27 165 202  0.043 24.744   21 -0.031   21 -0.040   25 -0.063   19 0.4907   29  0.127   30 -0.351    3  0.225    9  0.231
ROCKIES      18 29 199 243 -0.015 23.695   28 -0.088   28 -0.088   28 -0.093   28 0.4725   20  0.409   25 -0.155   18 -0.032    3  0.379

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CUBS         29 18 241 199  0.037 24.340    3  0.093    3  0.095    5  0.088    3 0.5368    1  0.845    1  0.448   27 -0.272   27 -0.388
BREWERS      26 18 218 157  0.008 22.314    5  0.054    5  0.066    3  0.115    5 0.5236   22  0.355   17  0.008    5  0.222   12  0.078
CARDINALS    27 19 208 205  0.008 23.453    6  0.048    6  0.064   10  0.011    6 0.5219   15  0.476   16  0.009   14  0.012   13  0.038
PIRATES      24 23 229 211 -0.025 23.317   14 -0.003   14  0.002    9  0.017   10 0.5077   17  0.439   19 -0.018   13  0.051    8  0.243
REDS         24 23 204 239 -0.043 23.122   16 -0.007   16 -0.004   26 -0.066   15 0.4988    7  0.649   13  0.094   26 -0.226   14  0.019

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES       32 15 250 152 -0.006 23.410    1  0.156    1  0.129    1  0.179    2 0.5418   18  0.429    9  0.136    4  0.223   22 -0.170
PHILLIES     24 23 199 216  0.025 24.335   10  0.004   10  0.015   17 -0.016   11 0.5072   23  0.319   24 -0.153   11  0.121    5  0.328
NATIONALS    23 24 255 268  0.074 25.225   11  0.004   11  0.014   12  0.001   12 0.5067    2  0.816    2  0.331   29 -0.329    7  0.245
MARLINS      21 26 201 214  0.029 24.412   18 -0.022   18 -0.029   19 -0.020   18 0.4921    8  0.645    8  0.136   23 -0.176   25 -0.269
METS         20 26 176 192 -0.019 23.043   26 -0.040   25 -0.052   24 -0.049   25 0.4817   30  0.114   29 -0.346    2  0.249    4  0.344

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ATHLETICS    23 23 200 213 -0.007 23.226   15 -0.005   15 -0.001   18 -0.020   16 0.4980   27  0.251   26 -0.212    7  0.173    1  0.616
RANGERS      22 24 171 168  0.024 23.740   17 -0.008   17 -0.009    7  0.018   17 0.4957   24  0.314   23 -0.124   10  0.159   30 -0.555
MARINERS     22 26 198 192 -0.026 23.851   20 -0.027   20 -0.036   14 -0.008   21 0.4864   21  0.391   21 -0.084   12  0.068   16 -0.014
ASTROS       19 29 212 263 -0.062 23.302   29 -0.100   29 -0.093   30 -0.114   29 0.4649    3  0.733   10  0.129   30 -0.358   15 -0.010
ANGELS       16 31 186 246  0.029 24.569   30 -0.120   30 -0.106   29 -0.101   30 0.4633    4  0.701   12  0.111   28 -0.312   26 -0.387

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GUARDIANS    26 22 210 197 -0.004 24.200    9  0.014    9  0.030    8  0.017    9 0.5090    9  0.623    4  0.152   20 -0.118   29 -0.525
WHITE SOX    24 22 211 218 -0.026 22.844   12 -0.000   12  0.008   15 -0.009   13 0.5028   10  0.610   11  0.113   21 -0.132   19 -0.093
TWINS        21 26 219 225 -0.024 23.384   23 -0.033   23 -0.045   16 -0.014   22 0.4840    6  0.653    5  0.150   24 -0.178   17 -0.035
ROYALS       20 27 189 210  0.024 24.345   24 -0.035   24 -0.046   22 -0.028   24 0.4819   28  0.239   28 -0.230    6  0.174   10  0.222
TIGERS       20 27 188 201  0.002 23.889   25 -0.039   26 -0.052   20 -0.021   26 0.4797   13  0.515   15  0.013   19 -0.054   18 -0.079

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAYS         30 15 207 182  0.022 23.102    2  0.143    2  0.123    6  0.074    1 0.5436   12  0.547    7  0.137   15  0.011   24 -0.235
YANKEES      28 19 237 169 -0.049 22.700    8  0.037    8  0.055    4  0.105    8 0.5155   25  0.257   20 -0.083    1  0.292    2  0.558
BLUE JAYS    21 25 188 199 -0.005 23.281   19 -0.024   19 -0.032   21 -0.025   20 0.4867   26  0.251   27 -0.218    9  0.167    6  0.258
ORIOLES      21 26 205 249 -0.011 23.739   22 -0.032   22 -0.041   27 -0.074   23 0.4836   11  0.587   14  0.027   22 -0.174   11  0.126
RED SOX      19 27 167 187  0.001 23.412   27 -0.049   27 -0.061   23 -0.044   27 0.4793   19  0.417   22 -0.098   16  0.010   28 -0.466

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL CENTRAL 130 101 0.563    1  0.087
NL EAST    120 114 0.513    2  0.046
AL EAST    119 112 0.515    3  0.018
NL WEST    117 115 0.504    4 -0.003
AL CENTRAL 111 124 0.472    5 -0.030
AL WEST    102 133 0.434    6 -0.117

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.073 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.009 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Mon May 18 05:30:06 2026
games through: Sun May 17 2026

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