Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
METS         3 3 23 20 -0.018  2.975   14  0.002   15 -0.004    9  0.002   13 0.5070   29 -0.243   30 -0.499    2  0.502    1  0.333 P
ROYALS       3 2 22 23  0.087  2.714   10  0.009    9  0.006   19 -0.009   12 0.5074    8  0.648    8  0.186   23 -0.205    2  0.304 P
ASTROS       5 2 45 32 -0.151  3.051    3  0.021    4  0.015    5  0.019    8 0.5184    5  0.782    4  0.349   26 -0.310    3  0.266 P
CARDINALS    4 2 29 28 -0.068  2.851    8  0.015    8  0.009   12 -0.003    7 0.5193    9  0.587    9  0.134   22 -0.140    4  0.103 P
BLUE JAYS    4 2 27 28 -0.297  2.285   11  0.007   11  0.002   17 -0.007   15 0.5010   10  0.581   10  0.124   21 -0.138    5  0.097 P
DIAMONDBACKS 3 3 25 27  0.090  3.252   12  0.005   12 -0.001   11 -0.001   14 0.5029    7  0.670    7  0.216   24 -0.218    6  0.087 P
YANKEES      5 1 24  6  0.121  3.241    1  0.036    1  0.035    1  0.062    1 0.5589   30 -0.270   29 -0.454    1  0.578    7  0.002 P
WHITE SOX    1 5 21 52  0.223  3.691   28 -0.028   28 -0.031   30 -0.072   26 0.4665    1  1.070    1  0.575   30 -0.719    8  0.002 P
RANGERS      4 2 32 27  0.006  3.029    6  0.019    6  0.013    8  0.007    5 0.5305    6  0.726    6  0.280   25 -0.266    9  0.002 P
ROCKIES      2 4 24 21  0.057  3.206   26 -0.023   25 -0.025   27 -0.033   24 0.4747   23  0.290   24 -0.158   11  0.092   10  0.002 P
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PIRATES      3 3 29 26 -0.006  3.023   19 -0.004   19 -0.007   20 -0.012   18 0.4981    4  0.808    5  0.346   27 -0.369   11  0.002 P
RED SOX      1 5 17 32  0.042  3.169   29 -0.029   30 -0.034   26 -0.027   28 0.4595   27  0.197   27 -0.226    5  0.173   12  0.002 P
TWINS        1 4 21 27  0.016  2.574   27 -0.025   27 -0.029   24 -0.020   27 0.4623   11  0.519   11  0.053   20 -0.093   13  0.002 P
TIGERS       2 4 24 24  0.046  3.151   24 -0.014   24 -0.019   18 -0.008   25 0.4691   22  0.296   22 -0.128    9  0.111   14  0.002 P
NATIONALS    3 3 38 28  0.100  3.276   15  0.001   14 -0.004   10 -0.001   17 0.4997    2  0.893    2  0.447   29 -0.448   15  0.002 P
RAYS         2 4 30 38  0.270  3.704   21 -0.007   20 -0.009   14 -0.004   16 0.5004    3  0.854    3  0.401   28 -0.409   16  0.002 P
ATHLETICS    1 5 17 27  0.153  3.461   30 -0.029   29 -0.033   29 -0.036   30 0.4552   24  0.246   25 -0.196    8  0.125   17  0.002 P
GUARDIANS    4 3 22 29  0.262  4.300    4  0.021    3  0.016   13 -0.003    4 0.5328   20  0.336   20 -0.090   12  0.083   18  0.002 P
ANGELS       3 4 31 35  0.224  4.192   17 -0.004   16 -0.005   16 -0.006   20 0.4956   18  0.371   18 -0.063   13  0.051   19  0.002 P
MARINERS     3 4 27 24  0.126  3.862   18 -0.004   18 -0.006    6  0.018    9 0.5124   12  0.461   12  0.039   18 -0.003   20  0.002 P
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CUBS         3 3 30 24 -0.068  2.834   16 -0.000   17 -0.006    7  0.013   19 0.4962   13  0.433   13  0.009   15  0.017   21 -0.022 P
ORIOLES      3 3 26 27 -0.110  2.761   20 -0.006   21 -0.009   21 -0.015   21 0.4910   14  0.432   14 -0.019   19 -0.010   22 -0.023 P
PADRES       2 4 19 26 -0.182  2.580   25 -0.022   26 -0.026   23 -0.017   29 0.4583   15  0.415   16 -0.036   17  0.003   23 -0.036 P
PHILLIES     3 3 23 36 -0.038  2.947   13  0.003   13 -0.004   22 -0.016   11 0.5075   16  0.411   17 -0.039   16  0.007   24 -0.041 P
BREWERS      5 1 45 17 -0.284  2.228    2  0.025    2  0.020    2  0.048    2 0.5386   19  0.347   15 -0.030    7  0.126   25 -0.092 P
MARLINS      5 1 33 18 -0.419  1.989    7  0.017    7  0.009   15 -0.005    6 0.5205   21  0.322   21 -0.103   10  0.094   26 -0.111 P
REDS         3 3 17 26 -0.208  2.537   22 -0.008   22 -0.013   28 -0.033   22 0.4811   25  0.237   26 -0.201    6  0.135   27 -0.175 P
DODGERS      4 2 23 17 -0.062  2.836    5  0.020    5  0.014    3  0.027    3 0.5378   26  0.215   23 -0.158    4  0.212   28 -0.191 P
BRAVES       4 2 24 12 -0.200  2.481    9  0.014   10  0.006    4  0.025   10 0.5114   28  0.120   28 -0.232    3  0.282   29 -0.262 P
GIANTS       2 4 14 25  0.169  3.490   23 -0.011   23 -0.014   25 -0.025   23 0.4808   17  0.378   19 -0.076   14  0.026   30 -0.272 P

NL WEST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DIAMONDBACKS 3 3 25 27  0.090  3.252   12  0.005   12 -0.001   11 -0.001   14 0.5029    7  0.670    7  0.216   24 -0.218    6  0.087 P
ROCKIES      2 4 24 21  0.057  3.206   26 -0.023   25 -0.025   27 -0.033   24 0.4747   23  0.290   24 -0.158   11  0.092   10  0.002 P
PADRES       2 4 19 26 -0.182  2.580   25 -0.022   26 -0.026   23 -0.017   29 0.4583   15  0.415   16 -0.036   17  0.003   23 -0.036 P
DODGERS      4 2 23 17 -0.062  2.836    5  0.020    5  0.014    3  0.027    3 0.5378   26  0.215   23 -0.158    4  0.212   28 -0.191 P
GIANTS       2 4 14 25  0.169  3.490   23 -0.011   23 -0.014   25 -0.025   23 0.4808   17  0.378   19 -0.076   14  0.026   30 -0.272 P

NL CENTRAL
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CARDINALS    4 2 29 28 -0.068  2.851    8  0.015    8  0.009   12 -0.003    7 0.5193    9  0.587    9  0.134   22 -0.140    4  0.103 P
PIRATES      3 3 29 26 -0.006  3.023   19 -0.004   19 -0.007   20 -0.012   18 0.4981    4  0.808    5  0.346   27 -0.369   11  0.002 P
CUBS         3 3 30 24 -0.068  2.834   16 -0.000   17 -0.006    7  0.013   19 0.4962   13  0.433   13  0.009   15  0.017   21 -0.022 P
BREWERS      5 1 45 17 -0.284  2.228    2  0.025    2  0.020    2  0.048    2 0.5386   19  0.347   15 -0.030    7  0.126   25 -0.092 P
REDS         3 3 17 26 -0.208  2.537   22 -0.008   22 -0.013   28 -0.033   22 0.4811   25  0.237   26 -0.201    6  0.135   27 -0.175 P

NL EAST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
METS         3 3 23 20 -0.018  2.975   14  0.002   15 -0.004    9  0.002   13 0.5070   29 -0.243   30 -0.499    2  0.502    1  0.333 P
NATIONALS    3 3 38 28  0.100  3.276   15  0.001   14 -0.004   10 -0.001   17 0.4997    2  0.893    2  0.447   29 -0.448   15  0.002 P
PHILLIES     3 3 23 36 -0.038  2.947   13  0.003   13 -0.004   22 -0.016   11 0.5075   16  0.411   17 -0.039   16  0.007   24 -0.041 P
MARLINS      5 1 33 18 -0.419  1.989    7  0.017    7  0.009   15 -0.005    6 0.5205   21  0.322   21 -0.103   10  0.094   26 -0.111 P
BRAVES       4 2 24 12 -0.200  2.481    9  0.014   10  0.006    4  0.025   10 0.5114   28  0.120   28 -0.232    3  0.282   29 -0.262 P

AL WEST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ASTROS       5 2 45 32 -0.151  3.051    3  0.021    4  0.015    5  0.019    8 0.5184    5  0.782    4  0.349   26 -0.310    3  0.266 P
RANGERS      4 2 32 27  0.006  3.029    6  0.019    6  0.013    8  0.007    5 0.5305    6  0.726    6  0.280   25 -0.266    9  0.002 P
ATHLETICS    1 5 17 27  0.153  3.461   30 -0.029   29 -0.033   29 -0.036   30 0.4552   24  0.246   25 -0.196    8  0.125   17  0.002 P
ANGELS       3 4 31 35  0.224  4.192   17 -0.004   16 -0.005   16 -0.006   20 0.4956   18  0.371   18 -0.063   13  0.051   19  0.002 P
MARINERS     3 4 27 24  0.126  3.862   18 -0.004   18 -0.006    6  0.018    9 0.5124   12  0.461   12  0.039   18 -0.003   20  0.002 P

AL CENTRAL
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ROYALS       3 2 22 23  0.087  2.714   10  0.009    9  0.006   19 -0.009   12 0.5074    8  0.648    8  0.186   23 -0.205    2  0.304 P
WHITE SOX    1 5 21 52  0.223  3.691   28 -0.028   28 -0.031   30 -0.072   26 0.4665    1  1.070    1  0.575   30 -0.719    8  0.002 P
TWINS        1 4 21 27  0.016  2.574   27 -0.025   27 -0.029   24 -0.020   27 0.4623   11  0.519   11  0.053   20 -0.093   13  0.002 P
TIGERS       2 4 24 24  0.046  3.151   24 -0.014   24 -0.019   18 -0.008   25 0.4691   22  0.296   22 -0.128    9  0.111   14  0.002 P
GUARDIANS    4 3 22 29  0.262  4.300    4  0.021    3  0.016   13 -0.003    4 0.5328   20  0.336   20 -0.090   12  0.083   18  0.002 P

AL EAST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUE JAYS    4 2 27 28 -0.297  2.285   11  0.007   11  0.002   17 -0.007   15 0.5010   10  0.581   10  0.124   21 -0.138    5  0.097 P
YANKEES      5 1 24  6  0.121  3.241    1  0.036    1  0.035    1  0.062    1 0.5589   30 -0.270   29 -0.454    1  0.578    7  0.002 P
RED SOX      1 5 17 32  0.042  3.169   29 -0.029   30 -0.034   26 -0.027   28 0.4595   27  0.197   27 -0.226    5  0.173   12  0.002 P
RAYS         2 4 30 38  0.270  3.704   21 -0.007   20 -0.009   14 -0.004   16 0.5004    3  0.854    3  0.401   28 -0.409   16  0.002 P
ORIOLES      3 3 26 27 -0.110  2.761   20 -0.006   21 -0.009   21 -0.015   21 0.4910   14  0.432   14 -0.019   19 -0.010   22 -0.023 P

DIVISION    W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL CENTRAL 18 12 0.600    1  0.049
AL EAST    15 15 0.500    2  0.038
NL EAST    18 12 0.600    3  0.038
AL WEST    16 17 0.485    4  0.032
NL WEST    13 17 0.433    5 -0.045
AL CENTRAL 11 18 0.379    6 -0.141

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.091 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.010 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Thu Apr  2 05:30:05 2026
games through: Wed Apr  1 2026

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